A January 2026 study from the University of Nebraska looked at eighteen high-profile AgTech shutdowns of 2025, including FarmWise, Ÿnsect, Vertical Future, BharatAgri and Jiva Ag. Thirteen of them, the authors found, came down to what they called the cost-adoption mismatch: the technology worked, the trial data was solid, and the unit economics for the farmer were not quite there. The wider context tends to make that gap more visible than it used to be.
American Farm Bureau and Terrain Ag put U.S. row-crop margins into a third consecutive negative year, with corn revenues down by more than half from the 2022 peak and federal direct payments back at $30 to $44 billion. Equipment makers see the same pattern from the other side: John Deere posted a 16% drop in production and precision-ag sales in the second quarter of 2025, and Q1 2026 farm-equipment market data is at decade lows.
AgFunder's 2026 report shows debt financing has risen to 18.2% of total agrifood funding, the highest share in a decade, as scale-ups gradually move toward Robotics-as-a-Service, outcome-based pricing, embedded credit and parametric insurance. The companies that make that shift over the next twelve months tend to be the ones still standing in 2027.